Capital OTB’s “Featured Race of the Day”

Every racing day, Capital OTB will be providing you with a “Featured Race of the Day”. We will identify the pace of the race, tactical advantages, key percentages, recent trends, and other helpful hints. All for the purposes of seeing you win big!

Saturday 1-19-2019

Fair Grounds Race 12

1 M 70 YDS

LeComte GIII

Purse: $200,000

Pace Factor

The pace of the race should be set by #2 Malpais. The horses taking stalking roles should be #4 Mr Money, #8 War of Will and #12 Plus Que Parfait. The horses that have shown closing speed are #9 Mo Speed and #5 Night Ops.

Key Percentages

#6 Hog Hustle Creek … Listed jockey is winning at a 20% clip.

Recent Trends

#3 Tackett … horse is three for three at FG.

Overall View

Saturday afternoon has a ton of action across the country. In South Florida they have The Sunshine Millions and the return of XY Jet. In California Roy H and Kanthaka return in a GII Sprint. New York’s card features the Toboggan and The Fair Grounds has fourteen races on the card with the LeComte being race twelve. The LeComte is a deep and competitive field. Plus Que Parfait is at a great price with Julien Lerparoux in the irons for trainer Brendan Walsh. Leparoux is a great route jockey and Plus Que Parfait has a ton of early speed. Leparoux should be in a stalking position behind Malpais and the outside stall should not be an issue. Last time out, Plus Que Parfait ran second by a neck in a Grade II at Churchill Downs in the slop. A repeat of that race, could have Leparoux in the winner’s circle at a generous four and a half to one. War of Will goes out for owner Gary Barber and Mark Casse does the training. Mark is winning twenty eight percent of his starts at the Fair Grounds and Tyler Gaffalione is in town for the fourteen race card. Last time out, War of Will broke his maiden but still ran well in three graded stakes including the BC Juv. Turf. They will try a fast dirt course (hopefully) in a deep field but should not have an issue. Casse is winning seventeen percent of his routes and ten percent of his stakes races.

Picks: 12-8-11-4(6)

Sullivan Crotty

About Sullivan Crotty

Sullivan grew up two blocks from Saratoga Race Course, got involved with horse racing from his father at a young age, who used to breed and own race horses. Graduated from Christian Brothers Academy in Albany, NY. He played college football at Assumption College in Worcester, MA.

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