Capital OTB’s “Featured Race of the Day”

 

Thursday 3-21-2019

Gulfstream Park Race 10

1 M Turf
 Claiming

Purse: $ 25,000

Pace Factor      

The pace of the race should be set by #6 Necessary. The horses taking stalking roles should be #8 Delightful Lana, #5 Yum Yum and #1 Bar Libre. The horse that has shown closing speed is #2 Frozen Hannah.

Key Percentages

#2 Frozen Hannah … Listed jockey is winning at a 17% clip.

Recent Trends

#6 Necessary … Horse has run in the money twice in three starts at GP.

Overall View

Thursday afternoon at Gulfstream Park has ten races on the card and the finale Thursday at Gulfstream is a claiming route race on the grass. The ML favorite is Frozen Hannah going out with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. Tyler is winning seventeen percent of his mounts at the meet and Frozen Hannah is dropping at the claiming level. The price is very short on the ML for a horse that likes to sit off the pace and on Paper, there is not much speed, so using Frozen Hannah on top, especially at the short price may be a bet against. Delightful Luna should be one of the pace setters in the race with Nik Jaurez in the irons.  The odds of the horse should go up because of the 0-9 at GP and the fractions should be slow. Delightful Luna has ran slow numbers up front in previous races, and has gotten caught and that should happen again today. It’s Two Hot Benny should get a jump on the closers for trainer Jeremiah Englehart. Englehart has taken advantage of his seventeen starts at GP with five wins and It’s Two Hot Benny should run a better race dropping from a N3L to the 12-5 tag. The six year old mare has ran well against better competition in NY and should be a nice price in today’s finale.

Picks: 4-6-8-2

 

Sullivan Crotty

About Sullivan Crotty

Sullivan grew up two blocks from Saratoga Race Course, got involved with horse racing from his father at a young age, who used to breed and own race horses. Graduated from Christian Brothers Academy in Albany, NY. He played college football at Assumption College in Worcester, MA.

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